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8 December 2023 last updated

Gilt yields reduce 53 basis points with no prospect of interest rate rise

Gilt yields reduce 53 basis points
 
Standard rates:  
annuity rates change 0.44%
Enhanced rates:  
annuity rates change 3.13%
Gilt yields:  
annuity rates change 28 basis point
 
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15-year gilt yields chart - Based on figures for November 2023
Latest gilt yield chart

Annuity Rates UK - November 2023 review

The 15-year gilt yields reduced by -53 basis points ending November at 4.60% after reaching a peak of 5.13% in October 2023. Gilt yields were as low as 4.46% before recovering some ground.

The Bank of England decision to leave interest rates unchanged at 5.25% for the third month since 3 August 2023, suggest there is no immediate prospect for an interest rate rise.

Annuity rates have reduced by up to -5.0% on average since the October peak although annuities still remain higher than fourteen year ago and opportunities remain to secure income at these very high levels.

Find related news here:
Annuities peak with falling gilt yields and unchanged interest rates
Pension annuities reduce by -3pc as gilt yields remain volatile

Our benchmark example for a 65 year old using £100,000 to purchase a single life and level annuity remains at a fourteen year high and increased by +1.46% with income of £7,208 pa.

Providers of standard annuities decreased annuity rates by an average of -0.44% for this month and we would expect rates to decrease by -0.13% in the medium term if yields remain at current levels.

For smoker and enhanced annuity providers have increased their rates by an average of -3.13% and we would expect rates to decrease by -0.11% in the medium term if yields do not fall.

Fig 1 below shows the annuity rates changes for the whole market and the proportion that have either increased, decreased or or did not change. It also shows the range of the changes of the annuity rates over the last month:

Annuity Rates Changes
Increase No change Decrease
annuity rates decrease   17%
annuity rates no change   4%
annuity rates decrease   79%
Increases of:
max 2.5%

 

Decreases of:
max -7.0%

  Fig 1: Annuity rate changes for the whole market


For the month 17% of annuity rates increased by up to +2.5% with 4% remaining unchanged and 82% decreasing by as much as to -7.0%.

What happened to standard rates

Below shows a fund of £100,000 with the change in standard annuity rates for single and joint pensioners from age 55 to 75 with different annuity options such as level or escalating over 1 month compared to gilt yields:

Standard annuity 1 month changes
Fig 2: Change in standard rates last month compared to gilt yields


What happened to enhanced rates

Lifestyle smoker and enhanced annuities have decreased significantly across the board for all types of annuities and ages.

Enhanced annuity 1 month changes
Fig 3: Change in enhanced rates last month compared to gilt yields


For the latest updates see Annuity Rates Review.

Changes to the 15-year gilt yields

The yields change for the month from 4.88% to 4.60% or -28 basis points. Table 1 below shows the daily 15-year gilt yields and the increase or decrease from the previous day's close:


15-Year Gilt Yields - November 2023
Day Rate (%) Change (bp*)
1 4.86 -2
2 4.76 -10
3 4.67 -9
6 4.74 +7
7 4.64 -10
8 4.59 -5
9 4.64 +5
10 4.68 +4
13 4.68 0
14 4.51 -17
15 4.58 +7
16 4.49 -9
17 4.46 -3
20 4.51 +5
21 4.59 +8
22 4.53 -6
23 4.61 +8
24 4.64 +3
27 4.56 -8
28 4.54 -2
29 4.47 -7
30 4.60 +13
  Table 1: Daily 15-year gilt yields and changes
* bp - basis points
News related stories:
Annuity rates reduce as gilt yields reach a record 5.13pc high
Gilt yields rise to 4.8pc as interest rates to remain higher for longer
Annuity Rates
  Age Single Joint  
  55 £6,132 £5,784  
  60 £6,532 £6,234  
  65 £7,247 £6,808  
  70 £8,170 £7,616  
£100,000 purchase, level rates, standard
Unisex rates and joint life basis
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