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12 November 2019 last updated

Impaired annuities rise with higher yields and prospect of Brexit deal

Impaired annuities up 1.5%
 
Standard rates:  
annuity rates change 1.74%
Enhanced rates:  
annuity rates change 1.50%
Gilt yields:  
annuity rates change 15 basis point
 
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15-year gilt yields chart - Based on figures for October 2019
Latest gilt yield chart

October 2019 Review

Impaired annuities are up by 1.50% for October following the 15 basis point change in the 15-year gilt yields last month to 0.86%.

Yields recovered from a low point for the month of 0.65% as the prospect of a US-China limited trade deal and Prime Minister Boris Johnson moving closer with a Brexit deal to leave the EU.

The 15-year gilt yield rise 15 basis points to 0.86% during October 2019 with providers of standard annuities decreasing rates by an average -1.74% for this month and we would expect rates to rise by 3.24% in the short term if yields remain at current levels.

For smoker and enhanced annuity providers have increased their rates by an average of 1.50% and rates may remain unchanged at 0.0% in the short term if yields do not fall.

Fig 1 below shows the annuity rates changes for the whole market and the proportion that have either increased, decreased or or did not change. It also shows the range of the changes of the annuity rates over the last month:

Annuity Rates Changes
Increase No change Decrease
annuity rates decrease   48%
annuity rates no change   10%
annuity rates decrease   42%
Increases of:
max 7.7%

 

Decreases of:
max -6.5%

  Fig 1: Annuity rate changes for the whole market


For the month 48% of annuity rates increased by up to 7.7% with 10% remaining unchanged and 42% decreasing by up to -6.5%.

What happened to standard rates

Below shows a fund of £100,000 with the change in standard annuity rates for single and joint pensioners from age 55 to 75 with different annuity options such as level or escalating over 1 month compared to gilt yields:

Standard annuity 1 month changes
Fig 2: Change in standard rates last month compared to gilt yields


What happened to enhanced rates

Lifestyle smoker and enhanced annuities have decreased significantly across the board for all types of annuities and ages.

Enhanced annuity 1 month changes
Fig 3: Change in enhanced rates last month compared to gilt yields


For the latest updates see Annuity Rates Review.

Changes to the 15-year gilt yields

The yields change for the month from 0.71% to 0.86% or 15 basis point. Fig 2 below shows the daily 15-year gilt yields and the increase or decrease from the previous day's close:


15-Year Gilt Yields - October 2019
Day Rate (%) Change (bp*)
1 0.69 -2
2 0.72 +3
3 0.71 -1
4 0.67 -4
7 0.68 +1
8 0.65 -3
9 0.69 +4
10 0.81 +12
11 0.91 +10
14 0.85 -6
15 0.90 +5
16 0.93 +3
17 0.90 -3
18 0.92 +2
21 0.98 +6
22 0.95 -3
23 0.91 -4
24 0.84 -7
25 0.89 +5
28 0.87 -2
29 0.94 +7
30 0.92 -2
31 0.86 -4
  Table 1: Daily 15-year gilt yields and changes
* bp - basis points

News related stories:
UK enhanced annuities rise with stronger data from China and eurozone
Enhanced annuity rates down over 3% as investors seek safe havens
Annuities fall with lower gilt yields after Brexit uncertainty
UK annuities could rise as investors leave safe havens
Gilt yields rise as Trump delays tariff on $200bn China trade
Annuity Rates
  Age Single Joint  
  55 £4,574 £4,142  
  60 £4,961 £4,610  
  65 £5,691 £5,238  
  70 £6,478 £6,098  
£100,000 purchase, level rates, standard
Unisex rates and joint life basis
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