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5 October 2016 last updated
Latest annuities increase as yields rise after investors sell bonds
15-year gilt yields chart
Based on figures for September 2016
Latest gilt yield chart

Providers have increased the latest annuities after the 15-year gilt yields rise as high as 1.31% ending 18 basis points up over the month following investor selloff of US bonds.

Standard rates:  
annuity rates up 0.37%
Enhanced rates:  
annuity rates up 0.18%
Gilt yields:  
annuity rates up 18 basis point

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Another record low for annuities

Investors in the US have been selling government bonds in anticipation the Federal Reserve will increase interest rates. In addition the European Central Bank (ECB) also signaled they intend to be less committed to extending the European Union stimulus programme resulting in a selloff in European bonds.

The combination increased 15-year gilt yields to their highest level since the EU Referendum of 1.31% before closing for the month at 1.16% up 18 basis points.

Standard providers increase rates slightly by an average of 0.37% and we would expect in the short term rates may increase further by 1.43%.

For smoker and enhanced annuity providers increased their rates by an average of 0.18% on average and in the short term rates may increase by 1.62%.

Fig 1 below shows the annuity rates changes for the whole market and the proportion that have either increased, decreased or or did not change. It also shows the range of the changes of the annuity rates over the last month:

Annuity Rates Changes
Increase No change Decrease
annuity rates decrease   77%
annuity rates no change   11%
annuity rates decrease   12%
Increases of:
up to 2.5%

  Decreases of:
up to 4.6%
  Fig 1: Annuity rate changes for the whole market

For the month of September 77% of annuity rates increased by up to 2.5% following investor selloff of US government bonds with only 12% decreasing by up to 4.8% and 11% remaining unchanged.

What happened to standard rates

Below shows a fund of £100,000 with the change in standard annuity rates for single and joint pensioners from age 55 to 75 with different annuity options such as level or escalating over 1 month compared to gilt yields:

Standard annuity 1 month changes
Fig 2: Change in standard rates last month compared to gilt yields

Standard annuities increased by an average of 0.37% during the month by up to 1.2%% for those aged 55 to 60 buying single and joint life annuities. The largest decrease was for those aged 55 buying 3% escalating annuities lower by 3.9%.

What happened to enhanced rates

Lifestyle smoker and enhanced annuities have decreased significantly across the board for all types of annuities and ages.

Enhanced annuity 1 month changes
Fig 3: Change in enhanced rates last month compared to gilt yields

For enhanced and smoker providers rates increased by an average of 0.18% with a larger rise of up to 2.5% for those aged 60 buying 50% joint life, level annuities. The largest decrease was for those single life aged 55 buying 3% escalating annuities lower by 4.6%.

For the latest updates see Annuity Rates Review.

Changes to the 15-year gilt yields

The yields change for the month was from 0.98% to 1.16% or 18 basis points. Fig 2 below shows the daily 15-year gilt yields and the increase or decrease from the previous day's close:

15-Year Gilt Yields - September 2016
Day Rate (%) Change (bp*)
1st 1.01 +3
2nd 1.06 +5
5th 1.05 -1
6th 1.03 -2
7th 1.04 +1
8th 1.11 +7
9th 1.23 +12
12th 1.24 +1
13th 1.31 +7
14th 1.27 -4
15th 1.29 +2
16th 1.27 -2
19th 1.27 0
20th 1.20 -7
21st 1.21 +1
22nd 1.10 -11
23rd 1.12 +2
26th 1.07 -5
27th 1.04 -3
28th 1.07 +3
29th 1.11 +4
30th 1.16 +5
  Table 1: Daily 15-year gilt yields and changes
* bp - basis points

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Annuity Rates
  Age Single Joint  
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  60 £4,961 £4,610  
  65 £5,691 £5,238  
  70 £6,478 £6,098  
£100,000 purchase, level rates, standard
Unisex rates and joint life basis
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